Covid-19 Diary : Sunday 27 December, 2020

 

With all respect to the medical profession, they need to realize that some of us find it offensive when they choose to not tell us the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth, “for our own good”.  The same when they lie “with the best of intentions”.  The supercilious “I’m a doctor, I know best” attitude is one they probably don’t know is parodied and disliked by most of the rest of the world.

The latest example of a doctor who feels that applying the lobster approach to the truth – slowly evolving the truth from “nothing to worry about” to “we should all panic” is the semi-sainted Dr Fauci – you know, the same Dr Fauci who laughed at the notion of ordinary people needing to wear masks, way back earlier in the year.

He is now modifying the percent of people who need to be infected or vaccinated in order to allow for herd immunity, and has been slowly raising the number from the earlier generally accepted number of 60% – 70%, and has now gone as high as 70%.  Depending on how you measure it, going from 60% to 90% is only a 50% increase, but it also means a four-fold reduction in the number of people who can be not-immune, from 40% to 10%.  It is a huge change.

The most peculiar thing is that the truth Dr Fauci is trying to “adapt” is not really a herd immunity truth at all, but rather a vaccine advocacy “truth”.  What he doesn’t realize though is that by admitting to lying to us, either then or now and possibly at both times, he is not helping get his message across and, the same as the oft circulated YouTube video of his interview when he dismissed the notion of mask wearing, he is now adding to the controversy and sabotaging both his personal credibility and that of public health officials more broadly with his mixed messages.  We relied on him to provide unimpeachable clarity.

Initially, Fauci was valued for “telling it like it is” and being a sometimes rare voice of clear reason.  Now, not so much.  That perception does neither him nor us any good, while making it easy for the anti-maskers and anti-vaxxers to taunt him and us.

Current Numbers

In the US, Wisconsin has improved by two places in the case list and no longer appears.  South Dakota has pushed CT off the death list.

In the minor country list, Andorra now has had over 10% of its population with officially recorded cases of the virus.  Bahrain dropped three places on the list.

In the major country list, the Czech Republic slightly increased its lead over the US, and the UK reappeared in tenth place.

The US is down one in the death list, now at seventh again.

US Best and Worst States

Rank Cases/Million Deaths/Million
A week ago Now A week ago Now
1 Best VT (10,326) VT (11,265) VT (178) HI (201)
2 ME HI HI VT (204)
3 HI ME ME ME
4 OR OR AK AK
5 NH (26,875) NH (30,013) OR (318) OR (338)
47 WI (78,520) UT (82,619) CT (1,565) SD (1,635)
48 NE NE ND ND
49 IA IA MA MA
50 SD SD NY NY
51 Worst ND (118,152) ND (120,024) NJ (2,063) NJ (2,113)

 

Top Case Rates Minor Countries (cases per million)

Rank One Week Ago Today
1 Andorra (97,992) Andorra (101,143)
2 Luxembourg Montenegro
3 Montenegro Luxembourg
4 San Marino San Marino
5 French Polynesia French Polynesia
6 Georgia Georgia
7 Bahrain Slovenia
8 Armenia Armenia
9 Slovenia Panama
10 Qatar (50,574) Bahrain (53,028)

 

Top Case Rates Major Countries (cases per million)

Rank One Week Ago Today
1 Czech Republic (58,231) Czech Republic (62,563)
2 USA (55,036) USA (58,965)
3 Belgium Belgium (55,007)
4 Netherlands Netherlands
5 Spain Spain
6 France France
7 Portugal Sweden
8 Sweden Portugal
9 Argentina Brazil
10 Brazil Argentina
11 Italy Italy
12 Poland (31,795) UK (33,622)

 

Top Death Rate Major Countries (deaths per million)

Rank One Week Ago Today
1 Belgium (1,604) Belgium (1,653)
2 Italy Italy
3 Peru Peru
4 Spain Spain
5 UK (990) UK (1,040)
6 USA (979) Czech Republic (1,030)
7 Czech Republic USA (1,028)
8 France France (960)
9 Argentina Mexico (945)
10 Mexico (912) Argentina (935)

Timings And Numbers

After reporting 23 states with reducing rates of new case numbers, the rt.live site was silent on 25 December, then reported 21 states on Saturday, then today, a wonderful 28 states with declining rates of new cases – over half.  Maine continues to be the worst performing state in terms of controlling case rate growth.

Does this mean there is no Christmas leap in cases?  No, it definitely doesn’t – it won’t be for another few days before those impacts start to be felt.  And, sadly, the most likely explanation is that state reporting organisations are working short shifts over the Christmas period and that cases are being underreported at present.

But it is still lovely to see more green than red on the chart.

Please stay happy and healthy; all going well, I’ll be back again on Thursday.

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