Covid-19 Diary : Thursday 13 May, 2021

Lots of very important articles today.

Here’s a brilliant article that I suggest is a “must-read” for you – it discusses in magisterial and very even-handed detail the origins of the coronavirus, and makes mincemeat of some of the ridiculous other theories being floated by people with vested interests.

Note – if you can’t access it because you’ve used up your ration of free articles, open it in an incognito window and it will appear.

And now, having read the above article and noted the prominent role of Dr Fauci and the department he works for, NIAID, in creating the virus, have a look at this video clip where Dr Fauci assumes a mantle of aggrieved innocence and then carefully chooses his words to deny the undeniable, by saying that his department did not fund the “gain of function” research that created the Covid virus.  Strictly speaking, he is almost true – they didn’t directly send money to China.  Instead, they gave the money to an American company that in turn sub-contracted with China to do the research.

I’ve got to add one extra comment that few others are daring to make on this matter.  How stupid is it to cooperate with China and fund their research into a deadly bioweapon (Covid)?  That’s like giving money and know-how to the Soviet Union during the cold war to help them develop nuclear weapons.  This article points out that China has been developing bioweapons for at least six years and expects them to be used in any future “high-intensity” conflict (ie a war with us) as “the core weapon for victory”.

Talking about the perhaps-not-quite-as-good-as-earlier-perceived-to-be Dr Fauci, we might be spared his on-going puzzling statements about mask wearing, including this one predicting that we might all voluntarily continue wearing masks to avoid ‘flu and other ailments.

The reason for Fauci running out of stupid things to say about masks is because the CDC on Thursday surprised us all by suddenly announcing that if you’re vaccinated, you no longer need to wear a mask outdoors or indoors, but you still have to wear a mask on public transport.

They didn’t explain the science behind their 180° turnaround, nor did they explain why it is safe to be maskless in most indoor places, but not on a bus or in a plane.  The puzzling and unexpected nature of their announcement, and lack of explanation, leaves one wondering if this was due to a former mistake on their part that they’re embarrassed to admit, or if it was due to political pressure, or what/why.

Keep in mind that states, counties and cities may still have more restrictive mask policies.  But, and here’s the thing.  With this CDC statement, all mask policies are now becoming essentially unenforceable.  Anyone challenged about not wearing a mask needs to simply say “I’ve been vaccinated” and there’s no way that statement can be challenged or supported, due to the lack of any standardized type of “vaccine passport”.

Do you really think the people who refuse to be vaccinated will cooperate and continue wearing masks?  I surely don’t.  This is the tipping point for me – I’ve been delaying getting vaccinated as long as I can, but I now expect the risk of infection will massively increase due to non-vaccinated people stopping wearing masks.  Remember, wearing a mask primarily protects other people, not the mask wearer, and so your risk significantly increases if other people stop wearing a mask, even if you continue to do so yourself.

Accordingly, I’m going to go and get the Johnson & Johnson jab.  If you’ve been delaying getting vaccinated too, I suggest you do the same.

Talking about struggling to believe what the CDC says these days (actually, their record has been far from perfect prior to now, too) here’s an article in which the CDC is accused of grossly exaggerating the risks of outdoor transmission of the virus.  That exaggeration is artfully obscured by their phrase “less than 10%” – which of course includes all numbers lower, even 0.00001%, so while being technically correct, their choice of 10% as a “no more than” reference point is deceptive.

Here’s another “must-read” article, headed Tens of Thousands of Lives Could Have Been Saved if Research on COVID Treatments Hadn’t Been Suppressed, Doctors and Economists Say.

The article points out an interesting motivation for why effective safe inexpensive cures have been actively suppressed.  It isn’t just to boost the sales of expensive new anti-viral treatments.  The vaccines now earning big pharma billions of dollars only qualified for their emergency use authorizations on the basis there were no other effective treatments available.  Is that really what it was all about – lying about the effectiveness of hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin so as to get vaccines rushed through trials and evaluations?

The only point I disagree with the article about is the count of lives that could have been saved.  It is much more than tens of thousands.  With almost 600,000 dead in the US alone, the unnecessary death count is in the hundreds of thousands, not merely the tens of thousands.

Talking about the CDC and also about vaccines, why is the CDC limiting the review of people who have been vaccinated and then infected?  While there’s nothing surprising, per se, with vaccinated people still getting infected, it is valuable information to profile who still got infected to see if we can understand if some people are more at risk of vaccine failure than others.  The CDC’s lack of curiosity on this point is, itself, curious.

Here’s an interesting article suggesting there were 13 mistakes that caused the global response to the virus to be worse than it could/should have been.  It makes some good points, but it omits a huge massive 14th mistake – the refusal to adopt across-the-board HCQ and IVM use.

At a “ground zero” level, here is a terrible terrible video report by an ER nurse who saw the errors and mistakes at first hand.  Here is more about the nurse, if you are interested.

Current Numbers

No shifts in US state numbers.  Bahrain moved up one position in the minor country list, with Luxembourg moving down a place to make room for Bahrain.

Sweden moved up one, pushing the US down to third place.  Jordan and Argentina swapped places at the bottom of the list.

The UK dropped a place in the death list, while Poland moved up, and Mexico pushed Portugal off the bottom of the list.

The usual series of stronger swings on the cases in the last seven day list.  India is now the 19th worst country, with 1,840 cases/million in the last week, but this shows a 6% drop from the rate being reported a week earlier.  It is possible that India’s latest “wave” may have peaked and now be heading down again – perhaps because they’ve started to use ivermectin in their battle against the virus (discussed below).

 

US Best and Worst States

Rank Cases/Million Deaths/Million
A week ago Now A week ago Now
1 Best HI (23,252) HI (23,625) HI (343) HI (345)
2 VT VT VT VT
3 OR OR AK AK
4 ME ME ME ME
5 WA (54,295) WA (55,381) OR (596) OR (610)
47 TN (124,769) TN (125,407) MS (2,428) MS (2,435)
48 IA IA RI RI
49 SD SD MA MA
50 RI (141,013) RI NY NY
51 Worst ND (142,007) ND (142,872) NJ (2,898) NJ (2,917)

 

Top Case Rates Minor Countries (cases per million)

Rank One Week Ago Today
1 Andorra (172,716) Andorra (174,094)
2 Montenegro Montenegro
3 San Marino San Marino
4 Gibraltar (127,249) Gibraltar (127,249)
5 Slovenia Slovenia
6 Luxembourg Bahrain
7 Bahrain Luxembourg
8 Aruba Aruba
9 St Barth St Barth
10 Lithuania (94,457) Lithuania (94,548)

 

Top Case Rates Major Countries (cases per million)

Rank One Week Ago Today
1 Czech Republic (153,007) Czech Republic (153,824)
2 USA (100,315) Sweden (101,238)
3 Sweden (98,707) USA (101,076)
4 Netherlands Netherlands (92,253)
5 France France
6 Belgium Belgium
7 Portugal Portugal
8 Spain Spain
9 Poland Poland
10 Brazil Brazil   (72,180)
11 Jordan Argentina (71,171)
12 Argentina (67,966) Jordan (70,235)

 

Top Death Rate Major Countries (deaths per million)

Rank One Week Ago Today
1 Czech Rep (2,752) Czech Rep (2,781)
2 Belgium Belgium
3 Italy Italy
4 Brazil Brazil
5 Peru (1,895) Peru
6 UK (1,871) Poland (1,878)
7 Poland (1,825) UK (1,872)
8 USA  (1,786) USA  (1,799)
9 Spain (1,683) Spain (1,695)
10 Portugal (1,670) Mexico (1,690)

 

Top Rates in New Cases Reported in the Last Week (new cases per million)

Rank One Week Ago Today
1 Bahrain  5,108 Bahrain  6,511
2 Uruguay  5,085 Uruguay  5,296
3 Argentina Costa Rica
4 Lithuania Argentina
5 Netherlands Lithuania
6 Costa Rica Netherlands
7 Sweden Latvia
8 Croatia Colombia
9 Cyprus Paraguay
10 Slovenia Georgia  2,190
11 Mongolia Nepal
12 Georgia  2,231 Brazil  2,000

I Am Not a Doctor, But….

Have you noticed how every week brings news of new virus variants being discovered, and inevitably being more infectious than the “original” virus form was?  Indeed, not only are we getting new mutations, but we’re getting mutations of the mutations.

Am I the only person to wonder why the virus is now mutating so rapidly, after being seemingly stable almost all the way through last year.

The obvious answer is “there are more cases now, giving the virus more chances to mutate”, but that is not a complete or adequate answer.

If it was all about case numbers, then surely we’d have been having many new virus forms almost appearing in November and December, when daily new case numbers were almost as high as they have been over the last month.

One almost wonders if there is a darker explanation for the appearance of new and worse versions of the virus, doesn’t one……

This is an interesting article about what to do if you’ve lost your sense of smell as a result of a Covid infection.

Here’s another reason for men to get vaccinated (and for women to encourage their men to be vaccinated), and to keep some IVM or HCQ at hand, just in case you still get infected.

Ivermectin and Hydroxychloroquine

Unsurprisingly, India is now belatedly turning to ivermectin in its desperate battle against the virus.  Goa is now recommending ivermectin for all over 18, Uttar Pradesh is crediting ivermectin with lowering its infection rates, and now Uttarakhand is following suit and also distributing ivermectin as a preventative treatment.

Meanwhile in the Philippines, a country battling its own much less major rise in Covid cases, they too are liberalizing ivermectin use and adding it to their public health programs and treatment plans.

But, in the US?  Nothing.

Vaccine News

How is it possible to give a person a first dose of the two-dose vaccine without being able to promise them a second dose when it comes due, two or three weeks later?  That’s a question Canada needs to answer at present.  In desperation, they’re wondering if they can mix and match two totally different types of vaccines – the beleaguered AstraZeneca vaccine that few other western countries want, and the Pfizer vaccine.

That’s a terrible betrayal of the public by Canada’s public health officials.

Timings And Numbers

It is great to see the continuing-to-climb counts of fully vaccinated people in both the US and UK, and other countries now starting to get measurable percentages of people vaccinated too.

Closings and Openings

Australia has now said it doesn’t expect to allow foreign visitors into the country (other than from New Zealand) until the middle of next year, one report even gloomily worried that might stretch further to the end of next year.

We’re surprised that the Australian government is both able to predict so far into the future, and also is so pessimistic about how long it will take before it can safely open the country again.

Please stay happy and healthy; all going well, I’ll be back again on Sunday.

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